Sunday, September 28, 2008

Tornados 2008 The Worst on Record

Tornados hitting U.S. cities? One hit the source of news for many areas of the world, Atlanta and CNN. The natural disasters that are happening are of biblical proportion.



The tornado cause $100s of millions of dollars of damage in Atlanta. Did you know that? Why or why not? Has this ever happened to Atlanta?

If that's not enough to get the world's attention, then how about tornados in Washington, D.C. while Congress was in session?

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Journal of Anectdotal Evidence: Hurricane Bertha

I made up the "Journal of Anecdotal Evidence" as a farce, something to laugh about and a place to send manuscripts on what a researcher that s/he heard somewhere, somehow, sometime. So at least I'm up front about it. It seems as though there have been extreme weather reports, some of which reach biblical proportions. So I won't catch them all, but will try to post what I do see.

So here is an example that in and of itself doesn't prove anything, but is fascinating anyway. There are excellent web sites out there including Accuweather (too pricey for me, I'm afraid, but great content and experts), and one of the perhaps lesser known is wunderground.com that I believe began at the University of Michigan (Go Bucks!). There is a blog about tropical weather, and we have at least one oddity already in the young hurricane season.



(c) 2008, wunderground.com, accessed 19 July 2008.


According to the National Weather Service (6:15 PM EDT, 19 July 2008)

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Bertha...located about 450 miles east-southeast of Cape Race
Newfoundland.

What?! A hurricane that far north? And that's not all. According to Reuters, accessed 6:23 PM 19 July 2008:
MIAMI, July 18 (Reuters) - Tropical Storm Bertha strengthened again into a hurricane on Friday as it accelerated toward the northeast over the open Atlantic, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.

The top sustained winds of the first hurricane of the 2008 Atlantic storm season had increased to 75 miles per hour (120 km per hour), just over the threshold at which tropical storms are upgraded, the Miami-based center said at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2230 GMT).

Bertha, an unusually resilient storm that appears likely to enter the history books as one of the longest-lived Atlantic storms on record [emphasis added], was no threat to land.
I am not a meteorologist, but I am a bit of a weather fanatic (meaning I'm very interested in it). It's this kind of extreme, "longest-lived Atlantic storms on record," that I will post as I see them. Briefly noted, there has been a back and forth about whether global warming will make hurricanes more fierce. A current research report just released goes back to the notion that hurricanes will be more fierce:
The nation can adapt to the changes that will result, the EPA report says, but it will have to weather heat waves and downpours, strengthened hurricanes, heat waves, air pollution and droughts. Source: http://www.efluxmedia.com/news_Environmental_Protection_Agency_Warns_Of_Climate_Change_Toll_On_Health_20562.html, accessed 19 July 2008.
The report was issued on July 17 and reportedly was deliberately held back when it was ready to be presented in April. The document has extreme predictions about the effects of Global Warming, and this is an agency run by the Bush Administration (which probably explains the delay, but makes the dire predictions all the more striking).

News Reports: Global Warming Correlates With Kidney Stones

It seems that scientists who were at liberty to conduct their research without being beholden to a stakeholder in the chaos (I think the discussion about global warming should be called "chaos" almost as in the Get Smart TV series and recent film in which "KAOS," the bad guys [e.g., the USSR/KGB] existed to stir things up and "CONTROL" [U.S./CIA] existed to counter KAOS's nefarious activities) are far more likely to accept global warming as an existing condition and are moving on to how we can do something about it.

Nevertheless, what appears to be a very vocal minority has done an excellent job of grabbing the megaphone. Search youtube.com for "global warming" skeptics and you will find video programs, very professionally produced, in which those skeptics (KAOS) are calling the science behind global warming community (CONTROL) as "lies." I'm a research professor and can tel you that if you can critique another's research (peer-reviewed research) and find fault, calling the other researcher a "liar" is pretty outrageous. This lowbrow reaction to global warming research appeals to people in the world who, for whatever reason including political ones, grab the "liars!" quotes and amplify them.

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Separating the Smoke from the Fire


It's nothing new for someone or a group of people with a political agenda that they want to put on stage. Blogs evolved into opinion sites and so it is not surprising that activists that want to clear or blur the "truth" about the phenomenon of global warming would adopt this new form of communication and, they hope, persuasion. A site that makes its purpose well know is called "Rising Tide" at http://www.risingtidenorthamerica.org/ (accessed 17 July 2008). On that site, they list on the right side of the screen:

About



The site was accessed 17 July 2008 and included in the "About" section is this paragraph:

What is Rising Tide?


Rising Tide is an international network born out of the conviction that corporate-friendly and state-sponsored “solutions” to climate change will not save us. As a matter of survival, we must decrease our dependence on the industries and institutions that are destroying the planet and work toward community autonomy and sustainable living.

The problem is not all blogs are so crystal clear. In creating a taxonomy of blogs related to global warming, finding a prominent and truthful "About Us" would seem to be a good thing. Let's see, how can we test this theory. Without knowing, I would assume the political movement, GreenPeace, probably is on the side of those who want to change, for example, the amount of CO2 artificially put into the atmosphere by human activities including all fossil fuel powered motors (lawn mowers, for example, add their share of pollutants in the air). OK, let's see if GreenPeace has a blog on global warming or a position statement from their web site.

Saturday, July 5, 2008

NOAA Predicts Extreme Weather


Scientific Assessment Captures Effects of a Changing Climate on Extreme Weather Events in North America posted at http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2008/20080619_climatereport.html on 19 June 2008.



Saturday, June 28, 2008

How to talk to global warming skeptics....

See http://gristmill.grist.org/skeptics for arguments to use in persuading skeptics that we have a serious problem and it's only getting worse. What remains remarkable to me is the seemingly total lack of discussion about other unintended consequences of burning fossil fuels, especially lung disease. Long before we had terrorist labels, people in Atlanta already had their own color codes as to whether it was safe for small children, the elderly, or those whose respiratory diseases (and probably others like heart disease...I don't pretend to know because I am not a medical doctor).

Why isn't the mainsteam media focusing on this? It must be a real mystery to conservatives who love to say the mainstream media is liberal (they might mean "anti-extremist" as in right wing radio talk shows which are clearly extremists).

You know, it's all kind of mind boggling. I don't know how well off the coal industry, but we all know the oil companies could buy the state of California if the wanted to, and probably through in Canada for good measure.

If Congress threatens some politically expedient way to tax oil companies in an election year, that will not be the long term answer. What I don't understand is do the oil companies need financial incentives to plow into alternative sources of energy, or are they willing to take the "windfall" profits and do the job?

If you told someone in 1976 that we'd still be getting the same ballpark figure in vehicle mileage, they would think you were crazy. I confess that my brethren in academia seemingly should have done something by now. At least I know they are trying. Here's the irony: the next Bill Gates might be the one who produces a modestly priced hudrogen engine and a distribution channel to make it readily available. For the latter, does anyone actually believe that gas stations can be modified to include Hyrdogen "pumps?"

Hyrdogen-powered cars could go down as one of the most rapidly adopted technology in the history of diffusion of innovations research. Many or most of us would feel the pressure to change. I'm not an engineer, but I am a pragmatist. If there is no money for research, it may not be addressed. Conversely, if there is money to burn (sorry, couldn't resist), them there are dollars available for research.

Perhaps the first hydrogen-powered automobile and/or the person or organization that makes it succeed will become the next Rockefellers.

By far the greatest payoffs for high gasoline prices include driving less (it's actually happening), the oil industry having the resources to invest in R&D with their current windfall, and the shock in the marketplace about wasting a fossil fuel and polluting at the same time.

Climate Change Facts Sources

Agan, clearly not endorsed by me, but here are still other global warming is a myth-like sites.

Source: http://www.climatechangefacts.info, accessed 28 June 2008

Climate Change Facts (or ["Facts"]))

Facts about Global Warming Reality Check
The IPCC 2007 Forecast
Impact Assessment Needs
How to Identify Bias
IPCC Forecast Vs. Reality
Forecast is Not Huge
Was the Earth Warmer before?
What Should We Do?
What Should We Not Do?
Issues of Disagreement?
Skeptics View of Consensus?
Consensus View Of Skeptics?
Is Global Warming Bad?
Polar Bears/Polar Ice?
CO2 so high we can't breathe?
Climate Sites - Official
IPCC
World Meteorological Organization
UN Framework Convention on CC
US Global Change Research Program
NOAA Climate Portal
NASA Goddard (GISS)
Japan Met Agency
Environment Canada
New Zealand Climate Change
Bureau of Meteorology-Australia
Climate Research
Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne
Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis, Victoria
CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab.
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
UCAR CLIVAR (Climate Var. and Predict.)
Climate Monitoring
NOAA/NCDC US/Global
U. of Illinois (Ice)
Hadley Interactive Display
Climate Per the Consensus(Human Impact is Most Important)
IPCC SPM 2007: Synthesis (Nov 07)
IPCC SPM1 2007: The Science
IPCC WG1 Full Science Report
IPCC SPM2 2007: Impacts
IPCC SPM3 2007: Mitigation
IPCC Emissions Scenarios
US National Center for Atmos Research
Real Climate (counters skeptics)
Nature. Com (Blog)
Union of Concerned Scientists
Al Gore Presentation
New Scientist Guide for Perplexed
Climate Per the Other Consensus(The Climate Skeptics)
The Anti Global Warming Resource
The Great Global Warming Swindle
ICECAP (Climate News/Information)
Friends of Science
Climate Science
Independent SPM: Fraser Institute
Wrong on Climate: N. Calder
Climate Audit
Science & Environ. Policy Project
Climate/Ocean Resources Center
Errors in IPCC Climate Science
World Climate Report
Fundación Argentina de Ecología Científica (Spanish/Español)
Briefings on Climate Change
US Geological Survey (Bio. Div)
Basics on Climate Prediction
Global & Australia/IPCC
Climate Drivers - Shorter Term
El Ninõ - Status & Info
The North Atlantic Oscillation-Info
The North Atlantic Oscillation-Status
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Historical (Instrumented) Charts
NOAA NCDC (with extrapolations) Univ. of East Anglia
Japanese Met. Agency
NASA
Paleo (Ancient) Sites
NOAA Paleo Program University of Michigan
Columbia University
Paleo (Ancient) Charts
Antarctic Ice Core (0-500K BP) Jones and Mann (200-2000AD)
Petit et al. 0-150K BP
Glaciation (Ice Ages)
Climatic Controls of GlaciationAstronomical Theoryof Climate Change
Policy Statements
American Association ofState Climatologists
American Meteorological Society
Weathervane Policy Site
ClimateChangeFacts on IPCC
Global Cooling Scare (1970s)
Science Mag Article Newsweek: about the scare
Newsweek, April 28, 1975
Global Cooling (Now)
Read the sunspots
Energy Conservation Sites(Tips to reduce emissions and energy use)
US EPA
Yale U. Climate to Action
OnLine Reviews of Skeptics
National Post (Canada)
Disagreements from Within
IPCC Deputy Yury Izrael
NASA Administrator Michael Griffin
Mitigation Measures
Planting Trees