You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.
Cap Cod Today quotes Times of India in a story published December 26, 2005. It's the same argument that if it's really cold today, there must not be any Global Warming. For those who area trying to understand it, let me try it this way:
If you took the earth's temperature in any one region on the earth on any given day, you will find records and (nothing new here) anomalies from which you can not extrapolate (or extend) to the rest of the earth.
If your child's temperature is 102.3 and anyone told you it's a trend in body temperatures all over the globe, you might reach for your phone and call 911. At any point in time there will be temperature anomalies around the world. When examples like this one happen, it's called citing "anecdotal evidence." If you had cancer and found out that someone survived cancer on a diet of bananas and coffee, it has little relevance for you or anyone else, unless other cancer patients are put on the banana/coffee diet and it is proven effective.
If you were an astronomy buff and the Hubble Telescope found a supernova, that would not suggest that other stars are about to explode. There is no relationship between an exploding star and its neighbors.
Sadly, global warming research suggests extremes in all directions, drought versus flooding, record cold and record heat. So while is is interesting to note phenomena as they occur, you wouldn't spent the rest of your life walking down sidewalks because you happened on a one dollar bill on a sidewalk.
Please comment as to whether or not this makes sense, not as to whether or not it supports your "global warming myth" dogma (see Dissidents Against Dogma).
Saturday, June 28, 2008
Sunday, June 22, 2008
Cold Weather Predicted by Global Warming Science
You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.
They call themselves global warming skeptics, which makes it sound as if they are in position to be persuaded or are not certain that global warming is a "myth." In fact, their blogs and web sites often have misleading titles that suggest the site is there to inform its readers about global warming when, in reality, the object is to raise doubts about global warming. An example that reoccurs is seen when there is a cold snap, even a record cold snap anywhere around the world. The "skeptics" jump all over this and try to grab headlines. Anyone persuaded by this "evidence" has not read about the science of global warming which predicts that the weather on a "daily" or annual basis is going to have extremes in both directions.
So, what we need to recognize is extremes in daily weather around the globe are predicted by global warming science. This same science tells us that regions of drought will be found near regions of flooding. This was very apparent in the summer of 2007 when northern Georgia was in an extreme drought while 250 miles to the northwest, Tennessee was being deluged by rain.
By the way, RealClimate "is a commentary site on climate science by working climate scientists for the interested public and journalists. We aim to provide a quick response to developing stories and provide the context sometimes missing in mainstream commentary. The discussion here is restricted to scientific topics and will not get involved in any political or economic implications of the science." This is the kind of honest disclaimer needed on all sites discussing global warming and/or climate change.
See http://wcco.com/topstories/good.question.global.2.366484.html and http://jeffmcintirestrasburg.greenoptions.com/2007/04/12/green-myth-busting-global-warming-and-cold-weather/
More to come...
They call themselves global warming skeptics, which makes it sound as if they are in position to be persuaded or are not certain that global warming is a "myth." In fact, their blogs and web sites often have misleading titles that suggest the site is there to inform its readers about global warming when, in reality, the object is to raise doubts about global warming. An example that reoccurs is seen when there is a cold snap, even a record cold snap anywhere around the world. The "skeptics" jump all over this and try to grab headlines. Anyone persuaded by this "evidence" has not read about the science of global warming which predicts that the weather on a "daily" or annual basis is going to have extremes in both directions.
So, what we need to recognize is extremes in daily weather around the globe are predicted by global warming science. This same science tells us that regions of drought will be found near regions of flooding. This was very apparent in the summer of 2007 when northern Georgia was in an extreme drought while 250 miles to the northwest, Tennessee was being deluged by rain.
By the way, RealClimate "is a commentary site on climate science by working climate scientists for the interested public and journalists. We aim to provide a quick response to developing stories and provide the context sometimes missing in mainstream commentary. The discussion here is restricted to scientific topics and will not get involved in any political or economic implications of the science." This is the kind of honest disclaimer needed on all sites discussing global warming and/or climate change.
See http://wcco.com/topstories/good.question.global.2.366484.html and http://jeffmcintirestrasburg.greenoptions.com/2007/04/12/green-myth-busting-global-warming-and-cold-weather/
More to come...
Saturday, June 21, 2008
Record Winter Becomes a Record Spring... What's Next?
You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.
Source: The East Iowa Herald, 19 June 2008, accessed
This pickup truck, owned by former Victor resident Steve Petersen, appeared on the front page of the June 13 edition of the Kansas City Star. The truck is shown on top of what was once Petersen’s house in Manhattan, Kansas. Petersen and his family were on their way to Victor when the storm struck. Chris Oberholtz Photo / Kansas City Star. Photo courtesy of the Kansas City Star, http://www.kansascity.com/
As reported by Mitch Traphagen of the East Iowa Herald, June 19:
VICTOR - Snowfall and ice storms have turned into rainfall, tornados and flooding, leading many in East Iowa to wonder what is next? Could the weather get worse?
Extreme weather has become so common that if people haven’t been affected themselves, almost everyone knows someone who has...
It seems the 100-year floods are coming about every 10 years or so. What was thought to be the flood of the century in 1993, has been eclipsed beyond anyone’s imagination today. This was a 500 year flood.
But not everyone has been surprised by recent events.
In 1998, the United States Environmental Protection Agency published a report entitled, Climate Change and Iowa. In it, the EPA predicted a 20 percent increase in summertime precipitation - and also stated that an increase in the frequency and intensity of summer thunderstorms is possible. Based on the events of a decade later, that report seems ominously accurate.
In 2004, a report by the National Climate Data Center found a trend towards an overall increase in precipitation, temperature, streamflow, along with increases in extreme weather events that included a 14 percent increase in “heavy rain events” and a 20 percent increase in “very heavy rain events” during the 20th century.
In 1996, NOAA created the U.S. Climate Extremes Index which tracks changes in extreme weather events. The chart shows weather precipitation events as somewhat more extreme than average in the early part of the last century, falling to below average in the 30s, late 40s, late 50s and around 1970. In 1980, the trend picked up - by 2007, the index revealed extreme precipitation events were occurring at a pace well above average. The four highest points in the index, covering a century of data, have occurred in the past 15 years. One other thing is obvious on the index: As much as the averages rise, they also fall. In other words, based on past history, as extreme events increase in frequency, we should also expect that at some point, they will decrease.
Source: The East Iowa Herald, 19 June 2008, accessed
Tuesday, June 17, 2008
108 Year Record Broken: Early monsoons baffle weather officials
You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.
See http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/ndtv/story.aspx?id=NEWEN20080053282&ch=6/16/2008%2010:21:00%20PM
See also: http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/images/fullimage/ver1/m/monsoonshowers.jpg
See http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/ndtv/story.aspx?id=NEWEN20080053282&ch=6/16/2008%2010:21:00%20PM
See also: http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/images/fullimage/ver1/m/monsoonshowers.jpg
Sunday, June 15, 2008
2008 Tornado Worst on Record? Bush Administration Warns
You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.
NOAA,the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, is an agency of the executive branch, has sounded the alarm bells even after the Bush administration admitted to censoring a report on Global Warming and delaying by 4 years the release of an embarrassing report showing that President Alfred E. Newman
This year may set records for tornadoes and tornado-related deaths. “We have already seen more than 115 tornado-related deaths, making this the deadliest tornado season since 1998,” said Greg Carbin, a meteorologist at NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla.
“It is only the third time since the 1974 super tornado outbreak that there have been more than 100 tornado-related deaths during a single tornado season in the U.S.,” added Harold Brooks, a research meteorologist at NOAA’s National Severe Storms Laboratory also in Norman. “In 1998 and 1984 there were 132 and 122 tornado-related deaths, respectively — 2008 will likely equal or exceed that record.”
See tornadoproject.com
NOAA,the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, is an agency of the executive branch, has sounded the alarm bells even after the Bush administration admitted to censoring a report on Global Warming and delaying by 4 years the release of an embarrassing report showing that President Alfred E. Newman
This year may set records for tornadoes and tornado-related deaths. “We have already seen more than 115 tornado-related deaths, making this the deadliest tornado season since 1998,” said Greg Carbin, a meteorologist at NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla.
“It is only the third time since the 1974 super tornado outbreak that there have been more than 100 tornado-related deaths during a single tornado season in the U.S.,” added Harold Brooks, a research meteorologist at NOAA’s National Severe Storms Laboratory also in Norman. “In 1998 and 1984 there were 132 and 122 tornado-related deaths, respectively — 2008 will likely equal or exceed that record.”
See tornadoproject.com
Saturday, June 14, 2008
Iowa Flooding Far Worse than 1993 Deluge
You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.
Science does not rely on anecdotal evidence, but without the first observations of the stars in the sky, where would astronomy be today? I expect stunning weather phenomena just as we have been seeing in recent years. Here's one of the many examples that I don't know if I can track. I believe simple examples of what's happening start the skeptic or the uninformed to wonder.
Science does not rely on anecdotal evidence, but without the first observations of the stars in the sky, where would astronomy be today? I expect stunning weather phenomena just as we have been seeing in recent years. Here's one of the many examples that I don't know if I can track. I believe simple examples of what's happening start the skeptic or the uninformed to wonder.
The rains that fell during the weekend of June 7-8 were fueled in part by moisture from Tropical Storm Alma/Arthur, which affected Central America May 29 - June 2. The Cedar River is expected to crest today at 31.8 feet, which is an amazing 19.8 feet above the flood stage of 12 feet. During the historic 1993 flood, the worst in recent history, the river hit only 19.27 feet, 7 feet above flood stage. Nine rivers in Iowa are at all-time record flood levels, and Iowa Governor Chet Culver has declared 83 of the state's 99 counties state disaster areas. Additional heavy rainfall is not expected over the Cedar River watershed over the next two days, so today should mark the peak of this year's historic flooding. SOURCE: JeffMasters, 1:07 PM EDT on June 13, 2008 at http://wunderground.com.
Sunday, June 8, 2008
The Wrath of Global Warming Skeptics (or Who Cares if Kids Get Asthma?)
You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.
Source: http://www.achooallergy.com/images/environment-global-warming.jpg accessed 8 June 2008.
Well, if you'd like to read a newspaper article (opinion?) that show some of the venom that is spewed by global warming skeptics (and I assume global warming alarmists (and I use "alarmist" in the sense that someone ought to be sounding the alarm bells)), see http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23819969-5007146,00.html. I'm not sure how much time I should take tracking down the 31,000 "scientists" who signed what must have been a mile-long petition saying "Na, na, na, na, na-a-a-a. The troposphere is cooling!" Hmmmm.... To the average citizen, what does cooling of the troposphere mean? Could it be that radiational cooling from the earth is actually redirecting heat back down upon us, and a cooling of the troposphere might actually mean the earth on which we live is warming? I have a Ph.D. and can be considered a scientist. Does it count if I sign a document saying "Yikes! Global warming is happening and faster than any models have predicted!"
This is where I need some punches from readers who think the 90s and 100s already occurring in the U.S. this spring are, once again, coincidences having nothing to do with 2007 being the hottest year on record and 2008 on track to beat it. How long can these coincidences be laughed off as phenomena like the reported cooling of the troposphere and what is has to do with global warming at the surface?
Tropospheric scientists with degrees from accredited universities unite! What is the answer? WAIT! A Google search on ' cooling troposphere ' (no apostrophes) brings this first result: A cooling troposphere and global warming can co-exist
Contact: James E. Rickman, elvis@lanl.gov, (505) 665-9203
Son of a gun! And I was just jabbing at the mean-spirited newspaper article cited above. And what do you know! My simplistic counter-attack may have merit! This continues to be the problem: more smoke from the "What, me worry?" call it climate change crowd. I have a new campaign I want to start hitting hard. If global warming skeptics are right, and I'd like the truth either way, why in the world would they not want to attack air pollution regardless? Don't believe in global warming, why not focus on the rapidly growing problem childhood asthma? Forget global warming, focus on pollution and explain why it's some kind of blessing in disquise that our children are breathing dirty air and are paying the price in lung disease. What am I missing?
Source: United States Centers for Disease Control from http://dynamicmt.com/asthma%20growth.jpg accessed 8 June 2008.
Source: http://www.achooallergy.com/images/environment-global-warming.jpg accessed 8 June 2008.Well, if you'd like to read a newspaper article (opinion?) that show some of the venom that is spewed by global warming skeptics (and I assume global warming alarmists (and I use "alarmist" in the sense that someone ought to be sounding the alarm bells)), see http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23819969-5007146,00.html. I'm not sure how much time I should take tracking down the 31,000 "scientists" who signed what must have been a mile-long petition saying "Na, na, na, na, na-a-a-a. The troposphere is cooling!" Hmmmm.... To the average citizen, what does cooling of the troposphere mean? Could it be that radiational cooling from the earth is actually redirecting heat back down upon us, and a cooling of the troposphere might actually mean the earth on which we live is warming? I have a Ph.D. and can be considered a scientist. Does it count if I sign a document saying "Yikes! Global warming is happening and faster than any models have predicted!"
This is where I need some punches from readers who think the 90s and 100s already occurring in the U.S. this spring are, once again, coincidences having nothing to do with 2007 being the hottest year on record and 2008 on track to beat it. How long can these coincidences be laughed off as phenomena like the reported cooling of the troposphere and what is has to do with global warming at the surface?
Tropospheric scientists with degrees from accredited universities unite! What is the answer? WAIT! A Google search on ' cooling troposphere ' (no apostrophes) brings this first result: A cooling troposphere and global warming can co-exist
Contact: James E. Rickman, elvis@lanl.gov, (505) 665-9203
Son of a gun! And I was just jabbing at the mean-spirited newspaper article cited above. And what do you know! My simplistic counter-attack may have merit! This continues to be the problem: more smoke from the "What, me worry?" call it climate change crowd. I have a new campaign I want to start hitting hard. If global warming skeptics are right, and I'd like the truth either way, why in the world would they not want to attack air pollution regardless? Don't believe in global warming, why not focus on the rapidly growing problem childhood asthma? Forget global warming, focus on pollution and explain why it's some kind of blessing in disquise that our children are breathing dirty air and are paying the price in lung disease. What am I missing?
Source: United States Centers for Disease Control from http://dynamicmt.com/asthma%20growth.jpg accessed 8 June 2008.
Skeptics, do you really want to be on the side of those who don't give a damn about asthma? Skeptics with asthma, would you wish your asthma on anyone else?
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