Saturday, June 28, 2008

Skeptic Web Sites and Blogs

A google search using the search phrase (without quotes)

Skeptic Web Sites and Blogs

on 26 June 2008 finds almost one million hits:

Personalized Results 1 - 10 of about 948,000 for Skeptic Web Sites and Blogs.

Clearly, I do not endorse sites that have made evidence of global warming into a political fight. If any of these sites takes the evidence gathered about global warming and uses their own evidence and best arguments to discredit the global warming science community's evidence, then I will be impressed and want to know more. Unfortunately, I'm not sure any of them do this. I liken what they are doing to negative political advertising. Although there has been some hope in this year's primaries that negative advertising doesn't always work, people who want to be comforted into thinking global warming is a myth will cling to these resources like a toddler and his "blankie."
See the list down the left hand side of http://commonsblog.org/about_commons.php
to find these conservative links.

Climate Cooling Facts
Facts about Global Cooling
Reality Check
The IPCC 2007 Forecast

Impact Assessment Needs

How to Identify Bias

IPCC Forecast Vs. Reality

Forecast is Not Huge
Was the Earth Warmer before?

What Should We Do?

What Should We Not Do?

Issues of Disagreement?

Skeptics View of Consensus?

Consensus View Of Skeptics?

Is Global Cooling Bad?

Polar Bears/Polar Ice?

CO2 so high we can't breathe?

Climate Sites - Official
IPCC

World Meteorological Organization

UN Framework Convention on CC

US Global Change Research Program

NOAA Climate Portal

NASA Goddard (GISS)
Japan Met Agency

Environment Canada

New Zealand Climate Change

Bureau of Meteorology-Australia
Climate Research
Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne
Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis, Victoria
CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab.
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
UCAR CLIVAR (Climate Var. and Predict.)

Climate Monitoring
NOAA/NCDC US/Global
U. of Illinois (Ice)
Climate Per the Consensus
(Human Impact is Most Important)

IPCC SPM 2007: Synthesis (Nov 07)

IPCC SPM1 2007: The Science

IPCC WG1 Full Science Report

IPCC SPM2 2007: Impacts

IPCC SPM3 2007: Mitigation

IPCC Emissions Scenarios

US National Center for Atmos Research
Real Climate (counters skeptics)

Nature. Com (Blog)

Union of Concerned Scientists

Al Gore Presentation

New Scientist Guide for Perplexed

Climate Per the Other Consensus
(The Climate Skeptics)
The Anti Global Warming Resource

The Great Global Warming Swindle

ICECAP (Climate News/Information)

Friends of Science

Climate Science

Independent SPM: Fraser Institute

Climate Audit
Science & Environ. Policy Project

Climate/Ocean Resources Center

Errors in IPCC Climate Science

World Climate Report

Fundación Argentina de Ecología Científica (Spanish/Español)

Briefings on Climate Change
US Geological Survey (Bio. Div)

Basics on Climate Prediction

Global & Australia/IPCC
Climate Drivers - Shorter Term
El Ninõ - Status & Info
The North Atlantic Oscillation-Info

The North Atlantic Oscillation-Status

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation

Historical (Instrumented) Charts
NOAA NCDC (with extrapolations)
Univ. of East Anglia

Japanese Met. Agency

NASA

Paleo (Ancient) Sites
NOAA Paleo Program
University of Michigan

Columbia University

Paleo (Ancient) Charts
Antarctic Ice Core (0-500K BP)
Jones and Mann (200-2000AD)
Petit et al. 0-150K BP

Glaciation (Ice Ages)
Climatic Controls of Glaciation
Astronomical Theory
of Climate Change

Policy Statements
American Association of
State Climatologists

American Meteorological Society

Weathervane Policy Site

ClimateChangeFacts on IPCC

Global Cooling Scare (1970s)
Science Mag Article
Newsweek: about the scare

Boston Globe: about the scare

Newsweek, April 28, 1975

Global Cooling (Now)
Read the sunspots

Global Cooling Sites
Ice Age Now

Energy Conservation Sites
(Tips to reduce emissions and energy use)

US EPA

Yale U. Climate to Action

OnLine Reviews of Skeptics
National Post (Canada)


Disagreements from Within
IPCC Deputy Yury Izrael

NASA Administrator Michael Griffin
Mitigation Measures
Planting Trees



I repeat, I would not expect unbiased evidence from these conservative organizations that satirize or otherwise try to discredit the evidence we have about global warming. Any that do deserve my attention, and I hope someone will point to them for me. I post these as a service to those who are trying to understand what we can do about global warming.

Bush Administration: Dire Predictions about Weather Extremes From Global Warming

Scientists: Weather extremes consistent with global warming USA Today, 19 June 2008

WASHINGTON — If you think the weather is getting more extreme, you're right — and global warming caused by human activity probably is the reason, according to a report released Thursday by a panel of government scientists.
The report comes as the Midwest copes with record rainfall and catastrophic flooding.
There is strong evidence the increasing frequency of extreme rain, heat, drought and tropical storms is caused by global climate change, according to the report from the U.S. Climate Change Science Program. Souce: usatoday.com

CLIMATE CRYSTAL BALL Souce: usatoday.com

According to the U.S. Climate Change Science Program's most recent 3.3 report, people can expect these environmental changes in the future:

Hot temperatures and heat waves will be more likely, as the number of cold nights and "frost days" will decrease. Strong waves will erode Arctic coastlines in Alaska and Canada
The Atlantic and Pacific basins will be hit with harder cold-season storms, packed with stronger winds and taller waves. Source: Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate brochure by CCSP.

The Clintons All Over Again: Why the "Hatred" Toward Global Warming Experts?


I invite those who believe "global warming as a myth" to explain to my why this is a political issue, why impoverished professors like me are somehow becoming rich by pointing to the dead canary in the mine, how researchers on Global Warming are profiting or have profits as their main source of interest. Professors do not choose this career for the money, there's no question about that. And why is it that so many online discontents about global warming rely on childish cheap shots, bad grammar, and caricatures of Al Gore? There should be no need to "shoot the messenger" if your proof that global warming is a myth is held up to scientific scrutiny, not simply mocking those with whom you don't agree. Of course, there were a significant number of Americans who also thought we should have stayed out of WWII.

Bananas and Coffee: Why do record setting cold days not contradict Global Warming?

You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.


Cap Cod Today quotes Times of India in a story published December 26, 2005. It's the same argument that if it's really cold today, there must not be any Global Warming. For those who area trying to understand it, let me try it this way:

If you took the earth's temperature in any one region on the earth on any given day, you will find records and (nothing new here) anomalies from which you can not extrapolate (or extend) to the rest of the earth.

If your child's temperature is 102.3 and anyone told you it's a trend in body temperatures all over the globe, you might reach for your phone and call 911. At any point in time there will be temperature anomalies around the world. When examples like this one happen, it's called citing "anecdotal evidence." If you had cancer and found out that someone survived cancer on a diet of bananas and coffee, it has little relevance for you or anyone else, unless other cancer patients are put on the banana/coffee diet and it is proven effective.

If you were an astronomy buff and the Hubble Telescope found a supernova, that would not suggest that other stars are about to explode. There is no relationship between an exploding star and its neighbors.

Sadly, global warming research suggests extremes in all directions, drought versus flooding, record cold and record heat. So while is is interesting to note phenomena as they occur, you wouldn't spent the rest of your life walking down sidewalks because you happened on a one dollar bill on a sidewalk.

Please comment as to whether or not this makes sense, not as to whether or not it supports your "global warming myth" dogma (see Dissidents Against Dogma).

Sunday, June 22, 2008

Cold Weather Predicted by Global Warming Science

You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.

They call themselves global warming skeptics, which makes it sound as if they are in position to be persuaded or are not certain that global warming is a "myth." In fact, their blogs and web sites often have misleading titles that suggest the site is there to inform its readers about global warming when, in reality, the object is to raise doubts about global warming. An example that reoccurs is seen when there is a cold snap, even a record cold snap anywhere around the world. The "skeptics" jump all over this and try to grab headlines. Anyone persuaded by this "evidence" has not read about the science of global warming which predicts that the weather on a "daily" or annual basis is going to have extremes in both directions.

So, what we need to recognize is extremes in daily weather around the globe are predicted by global warming science. This same science tells us that regions of drought will be found near regions of flooding. This was very apparent in the summer of 2007 when northern Georgia was in an extreme drought while 250 miles to the northwest, Tennessee was being deluged by rain.

By the way, RealClimate "is a commentary site on climate science by working climate scientists for the interested public and journalists. We aim to provide a quick response to developing stories and provide the context sometimes missing in mainstream commentary. The discussion here is restricted to scientific topics and will not get involved in any political or economic implications of the science." This is the kind of honest disclaimer needed on all sites discussing global warming and/or climate change.

See http://wcco.com/topstories/good.question.global.2.366484.html and http://jeffmcintirestrasburg.greenoptions.com/2007/04/12/green-myth-busting-global-warming-and-cold-weather/

More to come...

Saturday, June 21, 2008

Record Winter Becomes a Record Spring... What's Next?

You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.


This pickup truck, owned by former Victor resident Steve Petersen, appeared on the front page of the June 13 edition of the Kansas City Star. The truck is shown on top of what was once Petersen’s house in Manhattan, Kansas. Petersen and his family were on their way to Victor when the storm struck. Chris Oberholtz Photo / Kansas City Star. Photo courtesy of the Kansas City Star, http://www.kansascity.com/
As reported by Mitch Traphagen of the East Iowa Herald, June 19:


    VICTOR - Snowfall and ice storms have turned into rainfall, tornados and flooding, leading many in East Iowa to wonder what is next? Could the weather get worse?

    Extreme weather has become so common that if people haven’t been affected themselves, almost everyone knows someone who has...

    It seems the 100-year floods are coming about every 10 years or so. What was thought to be the flood of the century in 1993, has been eclipsed beyond anyone’s imagination today. This was a 500 year flood.

    But not everyone has been surprised by recent events.

    In 1998, the United States Environmental Protection Agency published a report entitled, Climate Change and Iowa. In it, the EPA predicted a 20 percent increase in summertime precipitation - and also stated that an increase in the frequency and intensity of summer thunderstorms is possible. Based on the events of a decade later, that report seems ominously accurate.

    In 2004, a report by the National Climate Data Center found a trend towards an overall increase in precipitation, temperature, streamflow, along with increases in extreme weather events that included a 14 percent increase in “heavy rain events” and a 20 percent increase in “very heavy rain events” during the 20th century.

    In 1996, NOAA created the U.S. Climate Extremes Index which tracks changes in extreme weather events. The chart shows weather precipitation events as somewhat more extreme than average in the early part of the last century, falling to below average in the 30s, late 40s, late 50s and around 1970. In 1980, the trend picked up - by 2007, the index revealed extreme precipitation events were occurring at a pace well above average. The four highest points in the index, covering a century of data, have occurred in the past 15 years. One other thing is obvious on the index: As much as the averages rise, they also fall. In other words, based on past history, as extreme events increase in frequency, we should also expect that at some point, they will decrease.

Source: The East Iowa Herald, 19 June 2008, accessed


Tuesday, June 17, 2008

108 Year Record Broken: Early monsoons baffle weather officials

You may use this content (better still, argue with me!), but please cite my ideas as © 2007, Dr. Bruce Klopfenstein. Find any typos? Please let me know.


See http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/ndtv/story.aspx?id=NEWEN20080053282&ch=6/16/2008%2010:21:00%20PM

See also: http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/images/fullimage/ver1/m/monsoonshowers.jpg